| All Access Pass Members
- listen to the entire interview: |
 |
| Become an All
Access Pass Member for only $4.95/mo |
 |
|
|
July
3, 2006
Can You Predict The Success Of New Technology?
Interview
with Pip Coburn, author of The
Change Function
|
Mike
Carruthers:
Some
new technologies are successful and some crash and burn, why?
Well, there's sort of a formula…
Pip Coburn:
The technologies that are adopted are those where there's
some level of crisis that is higher than the total perceived
pain of adopting the solution.
Pip Coburn, author
of the book
The Change Function, says for example the pain of learning
to use and lugging around a cell phone is worth it because of
the need it fills - which is freedom. An example of a technology
Pip doesn't think will work is the tablet PC.
That Bill Gates
has touted and maybe a lot of you have known about. So, Bill
Gates said, "People want to be able to write on their PC's."
We've transferred our society to be very keyboard - centric
over the last twenty-five years and I don't think people really
frankly want to go back. So, there's a faulty premise inside
of his pushing the tablet PC - that in fact people want to write
on their computer screens. There's a huge pain of adoption to
understand how to go about even doing it.
An example of
a slam-dunk technology, says Pip, is flat panel televisions.
Which were at
about 15% penetration inside North America - but the beautiful
thing I like about this Mike, is you don't have to learn anything
to buy this product. Everyone knows what a television is, that's
a wonderful thing. We're already at that 15%- we're starting
to get to that point where there's a crisis of peer pressures
building in and I think that it's going to take off like a rocket
as we go to the back of this year.
At somethingyoushouldknow.net
I'm Mike Carruthers and that's Something You Should Know.
|
|
| Keep
up with Mike! Join
the "Something You Should Know" Insider
Update. We'll
e-mail your Update to you every 2 weeks.
|
|
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
| |
|
|