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October
29, 2007:
Can You Make A Killing On Wall Street?
Interview
with Larry Swedroe, author of the book Wise
Investing Made Simple
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Mike
Carruthers:
Wouldn't it be great to make a killing on Wall Street - to buy
and sell stocks in a way that outperforms the market and makes
you big profits?
Larry Swedroe:
That seems like an attractive proposition, but all the academic
evidence shows that that's utter nonsense. If eighty percent
or so of the best investors in the world fail, why do individuals
with far less resources think that they're likely to succeed?
Larry Swedroe,
author of the book Wise
Investing Made Simple, says when you get past the hype and
look at the research, buying and selling your own stocks is
usually a bad idea.
The best example
I could give you is a study done by Brad Barber and Terrance
O'Dean - they looked at the trading of individual investors
and they found that the more people traded, the worse their
results were. They also looked at men and women investors. And
while the stocks that women picked did no better than the stocks
that men picked, women actually did better because they traded
less.
But some people
seem to do well picking stocks. So what if you just follow what
they do? Larry says that's a bad strategy too…
Let me give you
a great example, which is the story of Bill Miller at Legg Mason.
Here's a guy who beat the market, I think it was fifteen years
in a row. The last two years he's gotten slaughtered. Was Bill
Miller a genius who suddenly got stupid - or was he lucky and
he got unlucky? Hard to know, isn't it?
Tomorrow, other
myths about investing that a lot of people believe - I'm Mike
Carruthers and that's Something You Should Know.
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